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CDMA growth rate slowing down
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The Indian telecom sector is witnessing a subsequent decline in the number of additional CDMA subscribers every quarter since October 2008.

This trend is based on the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India's (TRAI) figures on the telecom sector's performance from October 2008 to September 2009. The statistics show that the sector had added 5.8 million CDMA subscribers during January-March 2009, a growth of almost seven per cent over 88 million in the previous quarter; 3.9 million during April-June 2009, a four per cent rise over 94 million in the previous quarter; and 2.6 million subscribers during July-September 2009, one per cent growth over 98 million in the previous quarter. This clearly shows a fall in the number of additional subscribers every quarter.
Contrary to this, the number of GSM subscribers added every quarter is constantly on a rise. In October-December 2008 and January-March 2009, the total number of GSM subscribers was 258 million and 297 million respectively, clearly showing a significant rise. Similarly, in the July-September 2009 quarter, the number of GSM subscribers in the country stood at 370 million, a 12 per cent increase from 328 million in the April-June quarter.

TRAI data also shows that though there is no doubting the potential for growth in Indian villages, the gap in the number of subscribers in urban and rural India will take several years to narrow significantly. The number of subscribers in urban India grew from 282 million in January-March 2009 to 301 million in the subsequent quarter, up by 6.8 per cent. In the next quarter, the figure rose to 330 million, up 9.5 per cent. In comparison, rural subscribers rose from 110 million in January-March 2009 to 126 million in the next quarter, on the back of a 14.8 per cent spike. However, in the subsequent quarter, July-September 2009, the growth had dropped to 12.5 per cent (only 3 per cent higher than urban growth), taking the rural total to 142 million.

In effect, the urban:rural subscriber ratio changed from 72:28 in January-March 2009 to 70:30 in July-September 2009.
afaqs!

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